Category: Stuff

·

Over the years, I didn’t notice that, notwithstanding my instructions, dividends were not reinvested. One thing I didn’t take note of was the failure of my online broker to execute my instructions. I should have checked and double-checked, but I didn’t.

Online brokers, in my opinion, are sloppy. The people answering the phone are poorly trained and often cannot handle technical matters. Sometimes, if I call a few times asking the same question, I get three different answers. The other maddening part of all this is the refusal to put things in writing. It’s clear to me what the reason is, but I’m not going there.

Be careful. Take notes. Note the time. Double-check everything they tell you. Double-check that instructions have been followed. Take nothing for granted and assume that if something goes wrong, they will take no responsibility for it.

·

Looking at some of my investments, one issue came up. I noticed that stocks like Mastercard, Microsoft and others are all between 15 and 20 per cent off their highs for the last twelve months, as the S&P 500 and the Dow attain new all-time highs. I’m not sure what’s going on, but it seems some large-cap stocks are driving the market while others are left behind. Probably the usual suspects, like Alphabet and Nvidia, to name a couple.

This is disturbing when investing new money in the market. Obviously, the market has rotated out of the past leadership, not that this is news to anyone but me. But if you are looking to invest, it may be flashing some danger signals in this divergence between the “old” stocks and the “new stocks.”

I’m not advocating that anyone try to time the market. I have, however, been looking at swapping out my individual stocks for ETFs. And it makes me nervous, given my age and where I am in overall market strategy.

Bears make money, bulls make money, but pigs get slaughtered is the old saying. But right now it’s a bit tricky for me to make a decision on what to buy and what to avoid. It’s the same old story; most of us, I believe, are “pigs” when it comes to stock markets. I feel like I’ve been slaughtered a few times!

·

One aspect of retirement planning that has escaped the eye of investors in Canada is the Registered Retirement Savings Plan, and its siblings, RRIFs, LIFs and others. The whole retirement planning mob in Canada has created a monster when it comes to retirement savings.

The biggest issue surrounding registered plans in Canada is the misconception that has been created, which suggests that saving in a tax-sheltered plan is an efficient and financially sound way to save for retirement. In my opinion, nothing can be further from the truth. And you don’t need a whole bunch of fancy financial models and calculators to prove my point.

The last ten years have been very good to investors who bought quality stocks and hung on to them for more than 10 minutes. Let me give you an example. In 2014, Microsoft’s stock was trading at around $50. Now it is trading pretty close to $500. If I invested $10,000 in MSFT, I would now have around $100,000. A capital gain of $90,000. Had I put it in my RRSP, I would have likely gotten, say, a tax refund of around $3,000. If the shares are now in my RRIF and I take the cash out, I have converted a capital gain of $90,000 into income. It’s not that unusual, given the way stocks have performed over the last 10 years including Google, Tesla, Meta, the list goes on and on.

The false conversation around the time value is not an issue here. So, can someone explain to me on which planet converting a $90,000 capital gain to income makes any sense? The gain dwarfs the tax relief. It’s just a tool to generate fees and assets for financial institutions in Canada.

I will refine this argument and hope to show over time how Canadians have been hoodwinked into flowing their money into the registered plans, destroying their financial freedom and retirement planning.

More to come on this topic.

 

·

It’s already January 5th. We are now already into the New Year, but we only have one trading day behind us. I continue to search for suitable investment candidates that meet my stringent but undocumented investment requirements. Over the years of investing, I have failed to establish a clear and concise investment plan. This resulted in my investment decisions being somewhat random.

Eliminating greed and second-guessing from investment decisions requires a structured, disciplined approach that focuses on a long-term plan rather than short-term emotional reactions. By understanding the inherent psychological biases, you can create systems to mitigate their impact.

One issue that pops up all the time is my ability to manage my emotions. Much has been written on the topic, but little has found its way to print.

Strategies to Manage Emotions
• Develop a Written Investment Plan: Before investing, outline your specific financial goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon. This serves as an anchor during volatile periods. When emotions run high, refer back to this objective document to ensure your actions remain aligned with your long-term strategy.
• Focus on the Long Term: Acknowledge that short-term market fluctuations are inevitable. A long-term perspective helps you avoid impulsive reactions to daily news cycles, which are often designed to evoke fear or greed.
• Diversify Your Portfolio: Spread your investments across various asset classes and sectors to manage risk. Diversification can cushion the impact of market downturns and reduce the intensity of fear or the desire to chase a single “hot” stock out of greed.
• Use a Rules-Based System (e.g., Rebalancing): Regularly review and rebalance your portfolio to maintain your target asset allocation. This provides a structured, automated way to make adjustments without emotional input, such as selling assets that have performed very well (curbing greed) and buying those that are underperforming (countering fear).
• Implement Stop-Loss Orders/Position Limits: For those who struggle with selling losers, using pre-defined stop-loss points can help convert temporary losses into smaller, permanent losses, protecting capital and removing the agonizing decision-making process in the moment.
• Practice “Average In, Average Out”: Instead of trying to perfectly time the market, invest a fixed portion of your intended position at set intervals (dollar-cost averaging). This removes the pressure of “second-guessing” the exact right moment to buy or sell.
• Limit Exposure to Market Noise: Turn off financial news and avoid social media groups that promote sensationalized or biased content. Constant exposure to market commentary can heighten emotions and lead to irrational decision-making.
• Maintain an Investment Journal: Document your trades and, importantly, your feelings at the time of each trade. Reviewing this journal later can expose emotional patterns that need adjustment, building self-awareness.
• Seek Professional Advice: An experienced, objective financial advisor can provide valuable guidance, help you stay on track with your plan, and offer an unemotional perspective during times of market volatility.

These are rules that are fairly easy to set out, and not so easy to implement. One part of this that I would find particularly useful is in the Investment Journal. This would document trades. I have no idea which are my losers and winners, as my online platform provides little in the way of detail (historical) on trades. Yes, use paper, not a spreadsheet. Spreadsheets are, but paper is better.